Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.003044 0.003345 0.003665 0.004032 0.004442 0.004887 0.005407
2026-02-01 0.002546 0.002969 0.003452 0.004046 0.004762 0.005599 0.006660
2026-02-08 0.002222 0.002696 0.003263 0.003995 0.004923 0.006068 0.007604
2026-02-15 0.001972 0.002468 0.003084 0.003909 0.005000 0.006407 0.008386
2026-02-22 0.001819 0.002339 0.003005 0.003928 0.005194 0.006893 0.009387
2026-03-01 0.001726 0.002275 0.002998 0.004033 0.005500 0.007544 0.010669
2026-03-08 0.001589 0.002138 0.002877 0.003965 0.005554 0.007837 0.011455
2026-03-15 0.001468 0.002012 0.002761 0.003889 0.005581 0.008086 0.012188
2026-03-22 0.001378 0.001921 0.002686 0.003864 0.005677 0.008437 0.013106
2026-03-29 0.001317 0.001868 0.002659 0.003905 0.005872 0.008952 0.014333
2026-04-05 0.001236 0.001778 0.002571 0.003845 0.005901 0.009200 0.015134
2026-04-12 0.001167 0.001704 0.002500 0.003805 0.005956 0.009493 0.016035
2026-04-19 0.001098 0.001625 0.002422 0.003753 0.005997 0.009782 0.016992
2026-04-26 0.001048 0.001575 0.002385 0.003766 0.006150 0.010278 0.018397
2026-05-03 0.000990 0.001507 0.002316 0.003719 0.006193 0.010582 0.019467
2026-05-10 0.000930 0.001434 0.002232 0.003640 0.006172 0.010766 0.020318
2026-05-17 0.000895 0.001397 0.002205 0.003657 0.006324 0.011281 0.021897
2026-05-24 0.000877 0.001387 0.002224 0.003754 0.006627 0.012110 0.024235
2026-05-31 0.000831 0.001330 0.002156 0.003691 0.006626 0.012344 0.025317
2026-06-07 0.000788 0.001273 0.002087 0.003621 0.006604 0.012531 0.026314
2026-06-14 0.000756 0.001233 0.002045 0.003598 0.006671 0.012907 0.027790
2026-06-21 0.000735 0.001213 0.002037 0.003636 0.006863 0.013558 0.029998
2026-06-28 0.000702 0.001168 0.001981 0.003580 0.006858 0.013788 0.031215